Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #737 / 1,000

P0581

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 38,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 976

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 024

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 733Deviation -R 4 291

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 024. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 062

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 657 to R 17 190
Finished ahead: 267 / 1,000 (26,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #706 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 9,13% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.637
Mean bets / session: 1.846
Loss multiplier: 1.0062×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 60,8% / 72,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 7 14811 wagers · RTP 112,91%

American RouletteR 3 4286 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 4183 wagers · RTP 58,96%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9822 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 33,33%

BlackjackR 6451 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 5601 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 100,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies