Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #590 / 1,000

P0587

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 33,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 317

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 683

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 441Deviation -R 2 242

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 683. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 546

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 776 to R 9 173
Finished ahead: 305 / 1,000 (30,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #489 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 14,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.281
Mean bets / session: 2.331
Loss multiplier: 1.0266×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 76,5% / 109,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 3 1355 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 2 5084 wagers · RTP 100,00%

European RouletteR 1 2542 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 139,99%

BaccaratR 6271 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 6271 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 125,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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