Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #575 / 1,000

P0597

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 36,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 484

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 516

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 194Deviation -R 2 322

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 516. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 562

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 126 to R 8 614
Finished ahead: 316 / 1,000 (31,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #495 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 16,61% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.376
Mean bets / session: 1.468
Loss multiplier: 1.0691×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,2% / 146,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 5662 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 5662 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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