Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #199 / 1,000

P0601

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 73,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 165

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 165

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 218Deviation R 2 383

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 165. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 236

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 759 to R 18 042
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #803 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,99% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.826
Mean bets / session: 4.084
Loss multiplier: 1.3401×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 65,5% / 80,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 7 35617 wagers · RTP 114,61%

Craps / DiceR 6 16813 wagers · RTP 88,04%

American RouletteR 5 11610 wagers · RTP 33,78%

European RouletteR 4 13310 wagers · RTP 239,20%

BlackjackR 2 8805 wagers · RTP 120,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 20,00%

BaccaratR 5631 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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