Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #382 / 1,000

P0602

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 65,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 277

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 723

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 145Deviation R 422

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 723. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 032

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 202 to R 15 138
Finished ahead: 331 / 1,000 (33,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #642 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,47% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.882
Mean bets / session: 4.212
Loss multiplier: 1.421×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,3% / 72,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 7 10425 wagers · RTP 33,22%

CrashR 6 02521 wagers · RTP 129,76%

Craps / DiceR 5 53719 wagers · RTP 83,55%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 97614 wagers · RTP 136,20%

European RouletteR 2 2398 wagers · RTP 270,79%

BaccaratR 2 0657 wagers · RTP 70,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 14,29%

Three-Reel SlotR 9894 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 8853 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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