Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #765 / 1,000

P0606

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 50,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 384

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 616

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 560Deviation -R 4 056

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 616. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 642

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 719 to R 22 163
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #778 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,76% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.017
Mean bets / session: 4.076
Loss multiplier: 1.4684×, capped at 3 escalations
Stop loss / win: 87,3% / 98,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 6 91418 wagers · RTP 11,89%

Craps / DiceR 6 61219 wagers · RTP 77,74%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 23217 wagers · RTP 41,35%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 11010 wagers · RTP 81,83%

CrashR 3 83310 wagers · RTP 13,40%

European RouletteR 3 57110 wagers · RTP 414,34%

BaccaratR 3 1998 wagers · RTP 58,67%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 43,75%

BlackjackR 1 3304 wagers · RTP 86,32%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies