Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #916 / 1,000

P0607

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 3,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 735

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 265

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 977Deviation -R 8 287

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 265. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 574

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 073 to R 13 228
Finished ahead: 302 / 1,000 (30,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #677 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,00% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.078
Mean bets / session: 4.014
Loss multiplier: 1.3908×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 90,5% / 80,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 5 90527 wagers · RTP 43,90%

Craps / DiceR 5 16025 wagers · RTP 75,85%

CrashR 3 52014 wagers · RTP 51,46%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 57311 wagers · RTP 158,12%

European RouletteR 1 6186 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 3725 wagers · RTP 18,66%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2716 wagers · RTP 46,81%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 5983 wagers · RTP 69,46%

Three-Reel SlotR 4792 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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