Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #67 / 1,000

P0608

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 81,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 16 007

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 6 007

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 587Deviation R 8 594

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 6 007. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 058

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 819 to R 28 292
Finished ahead: 268 / 1,000 (26,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #831 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,03% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.368
Mean bets / session: 3.693
Loss multiplier: 1.3071×, capped at 3 escalations
Stop loss / win: 93,1% / 90,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 16 39723 wagers · RTP 105,32%

American RouletteR 14 02420 wagers · RTP 191,47%

CrashR 13 35728 wagers · RTP 82,35%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8 59718 wagers · RTP 119,72%

BlackjackR 6 9709 wagers · RTP 109,10%

European RouletteR 5 6068 wagers · RTP 26,08%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 75011 wagers · RTP 18,18%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 43,75%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 7921 wagers · RTP 195,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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