Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #895 / 1,000

P0609

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 13,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 1 255

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 745

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 982Deviation -R 7 763

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 745. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 397

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 460 to R 16 344
Finished ahead: 289 / 1,000 (28,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #717 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,18% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.036
Mean bets / session: 4.2
Loss multiplier: 1.4187×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 82,9% / 62,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 8 05829 wagers · RTP 57,46%

Craps / DiceR 5 40219 wagers · RTP 103,00%

American RouletteR 5 23217 wagers · RTP 56,40%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 2308 wagers · RTP 76,51%

BaccaratR 1 8638 wagers · RTP 53,17%

Three-Reel SlotR 9695 wagers · RTP 19,09%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8294 wagers · RTP 11,94%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 28,57%

European RouletteR 4592 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 4471 wagers · RTP 250,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies