Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #106 / 1,000

P0613

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 76,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 12 702

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 702

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 430Deviation R 4 132

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 2 702. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 834

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 796 to R 19 500
Finished ahead: 315 / 1,000 (31,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #744 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,22% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.153
Mean bets / session: 3.55
Loss multiplier: 1.3717×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,2% / 67,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 10 82622 wagers · RTP 86,84%

Craps / DiceR 8 84917 wagers · RTP 79,74%

BlackjackR 8 15416 wagers · RTP 85,99%

American RouletteR 7 15314 wagers · RTP 37,47%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 2509 wagers · RTP 388,89%

European RouletteR 2 1444 wagers · RTP 450,00%

BaccaratR 1 5013 wagers · RTP 125,37%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 5006 wagers · RTP 16,67%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies