Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #668 / 1,000

P0614

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 54,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 027

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 973

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 409Deviation -R 2 564

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 973. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 730

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 715 to R 18 230
Finished ahead: 301 / 1,000 (30,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #739 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,67% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.356
Mean bets / session: 3.929
Loss multiplier: 1.5658×, capped at 3 escalations
Stop loss / win: 89,2% / 98,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 10 57329 wagers · RTP 93,95%

Craps / DiceR 8 40323 wagers · RTP 97,01%

BaccaratR 7 42020 wagers · RTP 88,25%

American RouletteR 6 35318 wagers · RTP 86,59%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 9678 wagers · RTP 83,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 50010 wagers · RTP 105,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 12,50%

BlackjackR 1 8555 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 3404 wagers · RTP 340,75%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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