Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #66 / 1,000

P0615

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 87,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 16 291

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 6 291

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 945Deviation R 7 236

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 6 291. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 741

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 352 to R 13 218
Finished ahead: 300 / 1,000 (30,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #687 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,87% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.869
Mean bets / session: 5.326
Loss multiplier: 1.5484×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 86,9% / 80,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 5 32020 wagers · RTP 150,00%

American RouletteR 4 78818 wagers · RTP 261,11%

Three-Reel SlotR 4 50018 wagers · RTP 91,67%

CrashR 3 72414 wagers · RTP 108,93%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 75011 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2 3769 wagers · RTP 67,17%

BlackjackR 1 0644 wagers · RTP 50,00%

BaccaratR 7983 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2661 wagers · RTP 196,10%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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