Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #925 / 1,000

P0617

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 52,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 654

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 346

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 618Deviation -R 6 728

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 346. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 493

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 999 to R 25 265
Finished ahead: 209 / 1,000 (20,9%)
At least one ruin: 61 / 1,000 (6,1%)
Median rank: #918 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,84% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.181
Mean bets / session: 3.051
Loss multiplier: 1.4891×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 65,7% / 79,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 9 80330 wagers · RTP 113,89%

American RouletteR 5 76014 wagers · RTP 61,06%

CrashR 4 02712 wagers · RTP 25,18%

BlackjackR 2 8256 wagers · RTP 17,63%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 8687 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 1315 wagers · RTP 77,37%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1287 wagers · RTP 44,33%

European RouletteR 8463 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4715 wagers · RTP 212,31%

BaccaratR 562 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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