Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #708 / 1,000

P0626

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 55,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 424

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 576

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 343Deviation -R 3 233

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 576. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 721

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 957 to R 25 459
Finished ahead: 278 / 1,000 (27,8%)
At least one ruin: 4 / 1,000 (0,4%)
Median rank: #786 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,12% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.041
Mean bets / session: 4.343
Loss multiplier: 1.5268×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 92,8% / 97,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 8 07422 wagers · RTP 79,55%

American RouletteR 7 34020 wagers · RTP 180,00%

Craps / DiceR 4 77113 wagers · RTP 46,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 75019 wagers · RTP 31,58%

European RouletteR 4 03711 wagers · RTP 18,18%

BaccaratR 2 9368 wagers · RTP 121,88%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 2026 wagers · RTP 92,38%

BlackjackR 1 8355 wagers · RTP 160,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 25,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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