Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #90 / 1,000

P0628

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 81,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 13 642

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 3 642

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 213Deviation R 5 855

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 3 642. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 351

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 960 to R 21 153
Finished ahead: 249 / 1,000 (24,9%)
At least one ruin: 2 / 1,000 (0,2%)
Median rank: #842 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.132
Mean bets / session: 4.31
Loss multiplier: 1.547×, capped at 3 escalations
Stop loss / win: 85,2% / 52,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 13 20622 wagers · RTP 100,33%

American RouletteR 12 01520 wagers · RTP 159,33%

CrashR 9 50019 wagers · RTP 140,79%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 50015 wagers · RTP 84,15%

BaccaratR 6 75411 wagers · RTP 106,36%

BlackjackR 4 9128 wagers · RTP 118,75%

European RouletteR 3 5926 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 25013 wagers · RTP 50,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 12,50%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 25,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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