Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #97 / 1,000

P0629

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 80,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 13 092

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 3 092

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 919Deviation R 7 011

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 3 092. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 645

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 945 to R 19 245
Finished ahead: 244 / 1,000 (24,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #855 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.204
Mean bets / session: 4.155
Loss multiplier: 1.3566×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 87,1% / 58,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 21 05843 wagers · RTP 127,32%

American RouletteR 15 25131 wagers · RTP 100,21%

Craps / DiceR 10 67722 wagers · RTP 132,29%

BaccaratR 5 42311 wagers · RTP 90,91%

BlackjackR 2 4655 wagers · RTP 100,00%

European RouletteR 2 4435 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 37,50%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 4793 wagers · RTP 75,93%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 25,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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