Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #888 / 1,000

P0634

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 47,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 1 408

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 592

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 060Deviation -R 7 532

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 592. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 8 383

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 903 to R 27 361
Finished ahead: 211 / 1,000 (21,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #877 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,92% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.46
Mean bets / session: 5.803
Loss multiplier: 1.5291×, capped at 3 escalations
Stop loss / win: 93,2% / 67,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 6 99236 wagers · RTP 103,10%

CrashR 6 88136 wagers · RTP 78,30%

Craps / DiceR 5 18230 wagers · RTP 92,24%

American RouletteR 4 49625 wagers · RTP 89,19%

European RouletteR 2 29514 wagers · RTP 33,99%

BlackjackR 2 2458 wagers · RTP 42,94%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 59912 wagers · RTP 6,94%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 5949 wagers · RTP 28,11%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 4439 wagers · RTP 65,12%

Lottery / JackpotR 6947 wagers · RTP 28,82%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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