Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #777 / 1,000

P0637

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 36,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 157

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 843

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 682Deviation -R 5 161

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 843. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 187

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 971 to R 16 955
Finished ahead: 274 / 1,000 (27,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #713 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,66% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.871
Mean bets / session: 4.031
Loss multiplier: 1.4952×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 70,8% / 59,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 5 89716 wagers · RTP 145,77%

American RouletteR 4 06311 wagers · RTP 29,24%

CrashR 3 65810 wagers · RTP 45,64%

BaccaratR 2 96310 wagers · RTP 84,12%

European RouletteR 2 7546 wagers · RTP 37,84%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 3236 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 8064 wagers · RTP 96,15%

BlackjackR 6693 wagers · RTP 147,98%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4602 wagers · RTP 42,83%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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