Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #828 / 1,000

P0640

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 28,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 087

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 913

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 130Deviation -R 5 783

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 913. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 881

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 641 to R 14 475
Finished ahead: 311 / 1,000 (31,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #698 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.95
Mean bets / session: 3.2
Loss multiplier: 1.4078×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 72,2% / 92,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 6 60916 wagers · RTP 30,26%

American RouletteR 6 37517 wagers · RTP 69,88%

Craps / DiceR 5 48813 wagers · RTP 112,90%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 3358 wagers · RTP 98,14%

BaccaratR 2 6936 wagers · RTP 154,78%

European RouletteR 1 1883 wagers · RTP 39,39%

BlackjackR 1 1773 wagers · RTP 113,68%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 37,50%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 25,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7213 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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