Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #928 / 1,000

P0645

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 47,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 594

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 406

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 279Deviation -R 8 127

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 406. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 302

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 995 to R 25 954
Finished ahead: 223 / 1,000 (22,3%)
At least one ruin: 46 / 1,000 (4,6%)
Median rank: #909 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.396
Mean bets / session: 4.932
Loss multiplier: 1.4898×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 87,9% / 98,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 9 03528 wagers · RTP 81,44%

American RouletteR 7 87827 wagers · RTP 55,18%

CrashR 4 69823 wagers · RTP 122,94%

BaccaratR 3 93512 wagers · RTP 99,64%

European RouletteR 3 28414 wagers · RTP 14,37%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 16825 wagers · RTP 63,56%

BlackjackR 1 93212 wagers · RTP 95,89%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 07115 wagers · RTP 95,99%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9378 wagers · RTP 31,21%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5284 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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