Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #899 / 1,000

P0648

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 17,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 1 130

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 870

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 889Deviation -R 6 981

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 870. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 011

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 597 to R 23 817
Finished ahead: 242 / 1,000 (24,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #795 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.235
Mean bets / session: 4.246
Loss multiplier: 1.4571×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 81,3% / 98,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 11 79829 wagers · RTP 76,55%

Craps / DiceR 8 99921 wagers · RTP 87,25%

CrashR 8 93926 wagers · RTP 109,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 32914 wagers · RTP 26,28%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 19814 wagers · RTP 46,90%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 09310 wagers · RTP 138,38%

European RouletteR 2 1916 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 60016 wagers · RTP 12,50%

BaccaratR 1 5785 wagers · RTP 138,38%

BlackjackR 1 2296 wagers · RTP 113,26%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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