Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #933 / 1,000

P0651

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 11,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 378

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 622

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 787Deviation -R 8 835

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 622. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 596

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 824 to R 18 988
Finished ahead: 282 / 1,000 (28,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #812 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.255
Mean bets / session: 4.692
Loss multiplier: 1.2954×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 80,8% / 91,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 5 56433 wagers · RTP 32,03%

CrashR 4 29929 wagers · RTP 65,92%

European RouletteR 2 83219 wagers · RTP 5,51%

Craps / DiceR 2 69320 wagers · RTP 155,74%

BlackjackR 1 4579 wagers · RTP 27,18%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 31311 wagers · RTP 99,29%

BaccaratR 1 0447 wagers · RTP 28,58%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9078 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4228 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1062 wagers · RTP 48,11%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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