Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #909 / 1,000

P0652

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 32,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 979

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 021

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 103Deviation -R 7 918

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 021. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 762

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 961 to R 18 005
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 6 / 1,000 (0,6%)
Median rank: #823 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.449
Mean bets / session: 3.523
Loss multiplier: 1.575×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 77,3% / 64,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 5 21224 wagers · RTP 59,21%

CrashR 5 02325 wagers · RTP 36,07%

American RouletteR 4 83125 wagers · RTP 99,92%

BaccaratR 3 34415 wagers · RTP 100,48%

European RouletteR 1 5666 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 53713 wagers · RTP 81,72%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 43410 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 78310 wagers · RTP 31,42%

BlackjackR 7677 wagers · RTP 111,86%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5134 wagers · RTP 106,06%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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