Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #200 / 1,000

P0658

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 69,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 156

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 156

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 076Deviation R 1 232

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 156. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 418

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 190 to R 12 979
Finished ahead: 315 / 1,000 (31,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #670 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.065
Mean bets / session: 3.613
Loss multiplier: 1.3694×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 68,2% / 67,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 6 88821 wagers · RTP 142,86%

American RouletteR 6 23219 wagers · RTP 63,16%

CrashR 4 92015 wagers · RTP 93,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 60811 wagers · RTP 61,35%

BlackjackR 2 9529 wagers · RTP 111,11%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 12,50%

European RouletteR 6562 wagers · RTP 450,00%

BaccaratR 6562 wagers · RTP 195,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 250,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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