Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #996 / 1,000

P0659

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 1,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 127

Total allocated

R 20 0002 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 15 874

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 901Deviation -R 11 972

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 15 874. Bankroll allocations used: 2.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 797

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 335 to R 19 437
Finished ahead: 189 / 1,000 (18,9%)
At least one ruin: 136 / 1,000 (13,6%)
Median rank: #935 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.934
Mean bets / session: 5.968
Loss multiplier: 1.4199×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,8% / 97,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 12 96236 wagers · RTP 53,01%

Craps / DiceR 11 17020 wagers · RTP 124,13%

American RouletteR 8 17414 wagers · RTP 19,21%

BaccaratR 3 6726 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 33011 wagers · RTP 36,02%

BlackjackR 2 6217 wagers · RTP 140,02%

European RouletteR 2 5739 wagers · RTP 98,10%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2629 wagers · RTP 99,13%

Lottery / JackpotR 6858 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 25,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies