Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #728 / 1,000

P0660

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 44,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 192

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 809

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 007Deviation -R 3 802

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 809. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 047

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 238 to R 13 684
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #703 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.021
Mean bets / session: 3.816
Loss multiplier: 1.3886×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 68,6% / 86,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 5 50619 wagers · RTP 111,77%

CrashR 5 38318 wagers · RTP 89,02%

American RouletteR 5 34217 wagers · RTP 76,19%

BaccaratR 1 9716 wagers · RTP 105,14%

European RouletteR 1 6336 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 50015 wagers · RTP 13,33%

BlackjackR 1 2944 wagers · RTP 214,26%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2405 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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