Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #7 / 1,000

P0671

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 95,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 47 625

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 37 625

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 4 245Deviation R 41 870

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 37 625. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 626

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 002 to R 35 275
Finished ahead: 220 / 1,000 (22,0%)
At least one ruin: 103 / 1,000 (10,3%)
Median rank: #923 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,23% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.356
Mean bets / session: 5.445
Loss multiplier: 1.5607×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 90,0% / 87,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 33 64843 wagers · RTP 106,12%

Craps / DiceR 24 95531 wagers · RTP 109,68%

European RouletteR 22 15828 wagers · RTP 265,21%

CrashR 20 00040 wagers · RTP 92,50%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 50011 wagers · RTP 136,13%

BlackjackR 4 0015 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 50014 wagers · RTP 42,86%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 50014 wagers · RTP 85,71%

BaccaratR 3 2204 wagers · RTP 195,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 44,44%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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