Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #837 / 1,000

P0672

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 66,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 907

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 093

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 951Deviation -R 3 142

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 093. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 372

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 991 to R 27 404
Finished ahead: 203 / 1,000 (20,3%)
At least one ruin: 28 / 1,000 (2,8%)
Median rank: #912 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.303
Mean bets / session: 4.389
Loss multiplier: 1.3665×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 68,0% / 68,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 28 29642 wagers · RTP 101,45%

Craps / DiceR 19 13629 wagers · RTP 88,53%

CrashR 8 82219 wagers · RTP 125,11%

European RouletteR 6 0137 wagers · RTP 103,38%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 24717 wagers · RTP 5,89%

BaccaratR 4 2198 wagers · RTP 59,42%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 18910 wagers · RTP 138,46%

BlackjackR 2 7534 wagers · RTP 71,78%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 50015 wagers · RTP 26,67%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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