Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #949 / 1,000

P0682

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 35,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 93

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 907

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 654Deviation -R 7 253

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 907. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 761

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 996 to R 28 102
Finished ahead: 152 / 1,000 (15,2%)
At least one ruin: 44 / 1,000 (4,4%)
Median rank: #932 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,05% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.326
Mean bets / session: 4.752
Loss multiplier: 1.2822×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 70,6% / 77,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 12 64648 wagers · RTP 101,08%

Craps / DiceR 6 00427 wagers · RTP 94,69%

CrashR 5 83030 wagers · RTP 34,68%

BaccaratR 2 17514 wagers · RTP 141,52%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 89616 wagers · RTP 13,66%

BlackjackR 1 8145 wagers · RTP 0,96%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 3073 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 9734 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 74011 wagers · RTP 1,62%

Three-Reel SlotR 5505 wagers · RTP 31,18%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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