Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #44 / 1,000

P0683

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 91,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 22 423

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 12 423

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 931Deviation R 14 354

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 12 423. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 493

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 856 to R 16 596
Finished ahead: 296 / 1,000 (29,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #774 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,74% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.408
Mean bets / session: 3.578
Loss multiplier: 1.4993×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 81,1% / 96,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 14 94233 wagers · RTP 73,26%

CrashR 10 44624 wagers · RTP 39,18%

Craps / DiceR 5 97015 wagers · RTP 92,26%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 47312 wagers · RTP 99,95%

BlackjackR 5 42313 wagers · RTP 110,27%

BaccaratR 4 11310 wagers · RTP 85,39%

European RouletteR 3 8538 wagers · RTP 653,57%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7017 wagers · RTP 185,30%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 166,67%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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