Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #987 / 1,000

P0684

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 0,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 656

Total allocated

R 20 0002 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 10 344

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 714Deviation -R 8 630

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 10 344. Bankroll allocations used: 2.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 515

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 985 to R 20 946
Finished ahead: 266 / 1,000 (26,6%)
At least one ruin: 18 / 1,000 (1,8%)
Median rank: #812 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,17% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.414
Mean bets / session: 4.463
Loss multiplier: 1.5637×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 77,3% / 85,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 8 22629 wagers · RTP 123,42%

Craps / DiceR 7 63328 wagers · RTP 41,82%

American RouletteR 7 10729 wagers · RTP 58,66%

BaccaratR 6 49525 wagers · RTP 104,50%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 42014 wagers · RTP 105,02%

BlackjackR 2 41810 wagers · RTP 62,70%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 8078 wagers · RTP 34,34%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 5037 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 0665 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 85212 wagers · RTP 23,94%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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