Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #877 / 1,000

P0685

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 59,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 1 682

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 318

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 4 193Deviation -R 4 124

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 318. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 634

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 14 108 to R 19 945
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 170 / 1,000 (17,0%)
Median rank: #924 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.196
Mean bets / session: 5.319
Loss multiplier: 1.5112×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 70,7% / 94,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 12 25834 wagers · RTP 83,90%

CrashR 11 41936 wagers · RTP 108,82%

American RouletteR 9 98327 wagers · RTP 39,37%

Three-Reel SlotR 7 73834 wagers · RTP 156,31%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6 41817 wagers · RTP 77,61%

European RouletteR 5 38513 wagers · RTP 84,09%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 38010 wagers · RTP 31,51%

BlackjackR 1 4084 wagers · RTP 78,27%

BaccaratR 9642 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4625 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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