Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #831 / 1,000

P0686

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 58,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 048

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 952

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 084Deviation -R 4 869

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 952. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 8 265

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 968 to R 31 595
Finished ahead: 235 / 1,000 (23,5%)
At least one ruin: 6 / 1,000 (0,6%)
Median rank: #871 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,61% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.204
Mean bets / session: 4.479
Loss multiplier: 1.5268×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 72,6% / 54,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 18 23725 wagers · RTP 99,10%

CrashR 12 98528 wagers · RTP 82,88%

American RouletteR 9 89816 wagers · RTP 93,03%

BaccaratR 6 50910 wagers · RTP 90,67%

European RouletteR 6 07110 wagers · RTP 171,01%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5 77824 wagers · RTP 43,27%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 0089 wagers · RTP 68,99%

BlackjackR 3 4835 wagers · RTP 50,42%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 8488 wagers · RTP 38,80%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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