Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #719 / 1,000

P0690

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 69,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 292

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 708

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 128Deviation -R 1 580

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 708. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 377

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 000 to R 20 711
Finished ahead: 216 / 1,000 (21,6%)
At least one ruin: 91 / 1,000 (9,1%)
Median rank: #912 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,47% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.108
Mean bets / session: 5.48
Loss multiplier: 1.5541×, capped at 3 escalations
Stop loss / win: 71,1% / 94,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 16 69834 wagers · RTP 148,90%

American RouletteR 15 11726 wagers · RTP 32,97%

Craps / DiceR 11 28521 wagers · RTP 99,31%

European RouletteR 6 10710 wagers · RTP 167,77%

BaccaratR 5 4469 wagers · RTP 68,64%

BlackjackR 4 65610 wagers · RTP 65,85%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 68411 wagers · RTP 16,17%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 6376 wagers · RTP 144,41%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 20022 wagers · RTP 18,18%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies