Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #856 / 1,000

P0692

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 56,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 295

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 705

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 155Deviation -R 5 550

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 705. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 8 518

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 946 to R 25 790
Finished ahead: 218 / 1,000 (21,8%)
At least one ruin: 3 / 1,000 (0,3%)
Median rank: #881 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.48
Mean bets / session: 4.492
Loss multiplier: 1.3147×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 92,0% / 78,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 17 46241 wagers · RTP 99,65%

CrashR 12 06732 wagers · RTP 54,08%

Craps / DiceR 11 03428 wagers · RTP 140,47%

BaccaratR 3 7819 wagers · RTP 80,35%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 62016 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 3 2866 wagers · RTP 92,67%

BlackjackR 2 9718 wagers · RTP 71,32%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 1389 wagers · RTP 28,23%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 6514 wagers · RTP 155,82%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 44,44%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies