Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #977 / 1,000

P0693

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 7,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 994

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 862Deviation -R 7 132

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 994. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 625

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 996 to R 26 348
Finished ahead: 212 / 1,000 (21,2%)
At least one ruin: 51 / 1,000 (5,1%)
Median rank: #925 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,05% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.17
Mean bets / session: 4.287
Loss multiplier: 1.561×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 83,5% / 99,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 10 17433 wagers · RTP 80,60%

American RouletteR 5 04828 wagers · RTP 28,49%

CrashR 4 90323 wagers · RTP 95,57%

BlackjackR 3 34815 wagers · RTP 40,95%

European RouletteR 3 21512 wagers · RTP 72,97%

BaccaratR 1 3517 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0535 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9637 wagers · RTP 129,80%

Three-Reel SlotR 6095 wagers · RTP 119,95%

Lottery / JackpotR 3515 wagers · RTP 284,90%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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