Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #678 / 1,000

P0697

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 54,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 875

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 125

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 606Deviation -R 2 519

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 125. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 274

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 688 to R 18 578
Finished ahead: 308 / 1,000 (30,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #762 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,87% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.045
Mean bets / session: 4.058
Loss multiplier: 1.2679×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 93,5% / 73,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 15 00525 wagers · RTP 78,21%

CrashR 13 70330 wagers · RTP 161,16%

American RouletteR 11 62321 wagers · RTP 69,35%

European RouletteR 2 8285 wagers · RTP 44,84%

BlackjackR 2 1694 wagers · RTP 58,46%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 7874 wagers · RTP 51,05%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 50,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 3631 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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