Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #853 / 1,000

P0700

Loss-chasing. The visible outcome sits at the 48,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 407

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 593

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 592Deviation -R 6 000

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 593. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 420

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 933 to R 25 390
Finished ahead: 231 / 1,000 (23,1%)
At least one ruin: 2 / 1,000 (0,2%)
Median rank: #846 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.887
Mean bets / session: 5.681
Loss multiplier: 1.5054×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 69,2% / 62,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 9 30125 wagers · RTP 88,71%

Craps / DiceR 7 51820 wagers · RTP 129,50%

CrashR 6 73722 wagers · RTP 30,14%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 3467 wagers · RTP 112,26%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 30211 wagers · RTP 10,86%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 30023 wagers · RTP 43,48%

European RouletteR 2 1295 wagers · RTP 67,50%

BaccaratR 1 8764 wagers · RTP 79,93%

Three-Reel SlotR 3842 wagers · RTP 69,79%

BlackjackR 3572 wagers · RTP 154,62%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies