Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #702 / 1,000

P0716

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 6,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 568

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 432

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 447Deviation -R 3 985

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 432. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 389

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 520 to R 10 428
Finished ahead: 211 / 1,000 (21,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #583 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,66% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.628
Mean bets / session: 4.48
Loss multiplier: 1.0043×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,6% / 20,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 36720 wagers · RTP 47,02%

BaccaratR 1 81015 wagers · RTP 92,27%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 25410 wagers · RTP 52,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1119 wagers · RTP 11,07%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0118 wagers · RTP 24,93%

Craps / DiceR 8877 wagers · RTP 95,83%

American RouletteR 5264 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4895 wagers · RTP 40,90%

BlackjackR 4764 wagers · RTP 155,88%

CrashR 4564 wagers · RTP 77,41%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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