Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #148 / 1,000

P0718

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 83,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 831

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 831

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 480Deviation R 1 311

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 831. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 398

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 510 to R 2 770
Finished ahead: 246 / 1,000 (24,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #470 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,00% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.672
Mean bets / session: 4.607
Loss multiplier: 1.0142×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,5% / 18,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 46314 wagers · RTP 58,44%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 03810 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 01810 wagers · RTP 330,55%

Craps / DiceR 5155 wagers · RTP 201,94%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3093 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3063 wagers · RTP 152,78%

Lottery / JackpotR 2993 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2963 wagers · RTP 83,78%

CrashR 991 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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