Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #455 / 1,000

P0720

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 72,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 495

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 505

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 700Deviation -R 805

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 505. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 097

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 525 to R 7 569
Finished ahead: 186 / 1,000 (18,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #644 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,80% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.108
Mean bets / session: 3.665
Loss multiplier: 1.0021×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,4% / 20,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2 62418 wagers · RTP 158,80%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 80018 wagers · RTP 33,33%

European RouletteR 1 60111 wagers · RTP 26,23%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 45310 wagers · RTP 13,73%

BlackjackR 1 38710 wagers · RTP 126,46%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 2578 wagers · RTP 73,70%

American RouletteR 1 1648 wagers · RTP 134,11%

Craps / DiceR 1 0577 wagers · RTP 115,04%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2942 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2882 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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