Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #484 / 1,000

P0721

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 52,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 291

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 709

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 335Deviation -R 1 374

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 709. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 860

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 210 to R 6 668
Finished ahead: 247 / 1,000 (24,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #527 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,54% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.675
Mean bets / session: 4.319
Loss multiplier: 1.0175×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,6% / 17,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 52619 wagers · RTP 100,63%

BaccaratR 2 52519 wagers · RTP 96,51%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0197 wagers · RTP 60,35%

CrashR 7976 wagers · RTP 107,34%

Craps / DiceR 6895 wagers · RTP 87,95%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6745 wagers · RTP 30,36%

Three-Reel SlotR 5694 wagers · RTP 24,08%

American RouletteR 5554 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 5484 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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