Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #174 / 1,000

P0725

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 73,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 365

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 365

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 125Deviation R 490

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 365. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 926

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 652 to R 4 249
Finished ahead: 304 / 1,000 (30,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #417 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,34% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.612
Mean bets / session: 2.801
Loss multiplier: 1.018×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,5% / 24,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 60612 wagers · RTP 84,56%

European RouletteR 9167 wagers · RTP 102,62%

Three-Reel SlotR 4053 wagers · RTP 123,95%

American RouletteR 3993 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2292 wagers · RTP 161,03%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1581 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1341 wagers · RTP 358,71%

Craps / DiceR 1141 wagers · RTP 500,00%

BlackjackR 1071 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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