Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #523 / 1,000

P0729

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 9,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 982

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 018

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 177Deviation -R 1 841

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 018. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 882

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 218 to R 3 438
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #411 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.894
Mean bets / session: 2.119
Loss multiplier: 1.0084×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,8% / 21,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 46715 wagers · RTP 62,17%

BaccaratR 1 31914 wagers · RTP 88,93%

CrashR 5576 wagers · RTP 62,61%

Three-Reel SlotR 4825 wagers · RTP 84,34%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3834 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2883 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1882 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1762 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 991 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 971 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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