Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #201 / 1,000

P0730

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 82,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 147

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 147

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 123Deviation R 270

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 147. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 747

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 584 to R 1 585
Finished ahead: 218 / 1,000 (21,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #392 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,62% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.64
Mean bets / session: 3.176
Loss multiplier: 1.0157×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,6% / 21,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 99816 wagers · RTP 198,40%

Craps / DiceR 4487 wagers · RTP 84,38%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3205 wagers · RTP 21,56%

BaccaratR 3185 wagers · RTP 114,06%

American RouletteR 2514 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2023 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1973 wagers · RTP 101,02%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1863 wagers · RTP 40,73%

CrashR 1152 wagers · RTP 102,61%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies