Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #388 / 1,000

P0738

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 60,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 244

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 756

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 398Deviation -R 359

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 756. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 173

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 028 to R 4 207
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #447 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.072
Mean bets / session: 2.875
Loss multiplier: 1.0148×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,5% / 16,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 66317 wagers · RTP 126,01%

European RouletteR 1 62617 wagers · RTP 104,37%

Lottery / JackpotR 96210 wagers · RTP 20,79%

CrashR 9069 wagers · RTP 88,91%

American RouletteR 6036 wagers · RTP 84,58%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5696 wagers · RTP 68,99%

BlackjackR 5115 wagers · RTP 79,06%

Craps / DiceR 5055 wagers · RTP 125,54%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3994 wagers · RTP 99,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3774 wagers · RTP 61,27%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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