Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #508 / 1,000

P0748

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 25,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 096

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 904

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 372Deviation -R 1 532

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 904. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 078

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 783 to R 2 958
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #437 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,94% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.854
Mean bets / session: 4.109
Loss multiplier: 1.0133×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,4% / 12,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 28726 wagers · RTP 78,18%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 56918 wagers · RTP 88,35%

BaccaratR 1 41716 wagers · RTP 67,39%

American RouletteR 1 04112 wagers · RTP 100,58%

BlackjackR 7709 wagers · RTP 68,83%

Three-Reel SlotR 5286 wagers · RTP 127,75%

Craps / DiceR 5136 wagers · RTP 69,01%

Lottery / JackpotR 4445 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 3344 wagers · RTP 79,19%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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