Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #190 / 1,000

P0761

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 74,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 213

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 213

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 240Deviation R 453

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 213. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 841

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 360 to R 3 125
Finished ahead: 291 / 1,000 (29,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #402 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.185
Mean bets / session: 2.564
Loss multiplier: 1.0069×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,0% / 23,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 03926 wagers · RTP 109,27%

BaccaratR 1 10914 wagers · RTP 91,80%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5617 wagers · RTP 51,14%

CrashR 5427 wagers · RTP 103,51%

Craps / DiceR 4806 wagers · RTP 132,50%

Lottery / JackpotR 3785 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3114 wagers · RTP 98,07%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2603 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2353 wagers · RTP 73,62%

American RouletteR 2323 wagers · RTP 496,55%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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