Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #680 / 1,000

P0785

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 5,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 823

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 177

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 348Deviation -R 3 829

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 177. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 845

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 195 to R 8 325
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #528 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.8
Mean bets / session: 3.854
Loss multiplier: 1.0015×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,5% / 18,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2 00517 wagers · RTP 90,31%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 92616 wagers · RTP 39,80%

European RouletteR 1 68114 wagers · RTP 21,42%

Craps / DiceR 7306 wagers · RTP 98,90%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5204 wagers · RTP 53,08%

CrashR 4994 wagers · RTP 91,38%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4984 wagers · RTP 44,23%

Lottery / JackpotR 4945 wagers · RTP 40,49%

American RouletteR 3943 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3623 wagers · RTP 33,15%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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