Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #385 / 1,000

P0794

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 49,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 254

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 746

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 152Deviation -R 595

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 746. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 731

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 126 to R 2 931
Finished ahead: 280 / 1,000 (28,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #390 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,20% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.712
Mean bets / session: 2.546
Loss multiplier: 1.0177×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,8% / 25,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2 56123 wagers · RTP 74,35%

European RouletteR 1 20211 wagers · RTP 99,42%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4544 wagers · RTP 121,64%

CrashR 4444 wagers · RTP 106,59%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1111 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1011 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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